Email message from Robin Knox-Johnston (January 17, 2017) regarding the strategy of Alex Thomson and Armel Le Cléac’h.
“We have one of the most exciting finishes to an ocean race since Ariel and Taeping in 1866, or Mike Birch and Malinovsky in the first Route de Rhum in 1978. Alex’s VMG indicates he will win as it stands at the moment, and he is closing in every new report (I will be glad when it is over so I can get some sleep). […]
The Biscay High Pressure system is the Joker. Is Armel right to head more for the finish line, and lose out on VMG now but rely on being closer when the wind comes on the nose, or is Alex right to maintain a much better speed but give himself more ground to cover, perhaps with a better wind. It depends on when he has to make the final tack for the finish line. This is going to be the decider, and if he holds course, Alex will have a greater distance to sail, but maybe at faster speed. It will all depend on what the winds do tomorrow evening.
One thing is for certain, the Fat Lady ain’t sung yet!”